Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.039089 0.045520 0.052160 0.059493 0.067329 0.075421 0.084379
2025-12-07 0.030280 0.039684 0.049941 0.061793 0.074963 0.089021 0.105039
2025-12-14 0.024781 0.036044 0.048903 0.064292 0.081881 0.101084 0.123382
2025-12-21 0.020029 0.032345 0.047040 0.065183 0.086420 0.110033 0.137859
2025-12-28 0.018310 0.031964 0.048775 0.069974 0.095173 0.123514 0.157213
2026-01-04 0.014113 0.027792 0.045437 0.068351 0.096159 0.127904 0.166088
2026-01-11 0.011784 0.025773 0.044528 0.069452 0.100169 0.135618 0.178608
2026-01-18 0.009579 0.023586 0.043165 0.069797 0.103120 0.141978 0.189468
2026-01-25 0.007828 0.021799 0.042144 0.070424 0.106296 0.148511 0.200447
2026-02-01 0.006171 0.019859 0.040726 0.070397 0.108557 0.153874 0.209992
2026-02-08 0.004141 0.016791 0.037415 0.067666 0.107285 0.154885 0.214318
2026-02-15 0.002906 0.014853 0.035564 0.066743 0.108176 0.158410 0.221532
2026-02-22 0.002227 0.013959 0.035323 0.068116 0.112157 0.165900 0.233732
2026-03-01 0.001684 0.013205 0.035248 0.069706 0.116434 0.173792 0.246477
2026-03-08 0.001352 0.012884 0.035831 0.072203 0.121881 0.183120 0.260946
2026-03-15 0.000906 0.011976 0.035346 0.073120 0.125225 0.189831 0.272260
2026-03-22 0.000938 0.012727 0.037728 0.078196 0.134057 0.203349 0.291781
2026-03-29 0.000409 0.010922 0.035503 0.076475 0.133846 0.205603 0.297684
2026-04-05 0.000220 0.010277 0.035273 0.077641 0.137440 0.212573 0.309273
2026-04-12 0.000072 0.009411 0.034542 0.078007 0.139927 0.218133 0.319134
2026-04-19 0.000009 0.008704 0.034038 0.078671 0.142788 0.224144 0.329527
2026-04-26 NaN 0.007839 0.033118 0.078643 0.144670 0.228891 0.338356
2026-05-03 NaN 0.006247 0.030448 0.075748 0.142529 0.228462 0.340776